KARACHI: The Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO) on Sunday issued an astronomical forecast regarding the sighting of the Muharram moon, indicating that the new Islamic year 1448 AH is expected to begin on Wednesday, June 17, 2026.
Astronomical Parameters
According to an official statement issued by SUPARCO, the birth of the new moon is expected to occur at 7:54 am local time on June 15. The space agency said that the moon will be 11 hours and 50 minutes old at sunset on the same day, while the interval between sunset and moonset in coastal areas is expected to be around 40 minutes.
Based on these astronomical parameters, SUPARCO assessed the chances of sighting the Muharram crescent on the evening of June 15 as extremely low. As a result, the first day of Muharram (1448 AH) is likely to fall on Wednesday, June 17.
Scientific Guide Only
The space agency clarified that its forecast serves as a scientific guide, emphasising that the official and final decision regarding the moon sighting will be made by the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee.
Significance of Muharram
Muharram is the first month of the Islamic lunar calendar and is considered one of the four sacred months in Islam. The 10th day of Muharram, known as Ashura, holds particular religious significance for Muslims worldwide. The beginning of the new Islamic year is typically marked by prayers and reflections.
Moon Sighting Process
In Pakistan, the Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee convenes on the 29th of each Islamic month to receive and verify moon sighting testimonies from across the country. If the moon is sighted, the month begins the next day; otherwise, the current month completes 30 days. SUPARCO’s astronomical forecasts provide scientific data to assist the committee, but the final announcement rests with the religious body.
The forecast has been widely shared, and Muslims across the country are expected to look for the crescent on the evening of June 15. However, given SUPARCO’s low probability assessment, it is likely that the month of Dhul Hijjah will complete 30 days, pushing the start of Muharram to June 17. The Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee will make the official announcement after sunset on June 15. Muslims are advised to follow the committee’s decision. The beginning of the new Islamic year is a time for spiritual renewal and remembrance. Many people engage in fasting, charity, and special prayers during this month. The month of Muharram also commemorates the martyrdom of Imam Hussain (RA), the grandson of Prophet Muhammad (PBUH), at the Battle of Karbala. Mourning processions and gatherings are held across the country, particularly on Ashura. The government has already announced security arrangements for the month. The SUPARCO forecast provides valuable scientific input, but the traditional moon sighting remains the deciding factor. The Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee has a history of careful deliberation. Their decision will be respected by all. The Islamic calendar is lunar, and the sighting of the crescent marks the beginning of each month. This system has been followed for over 1,400 years. SUPARCO’s involvement adds a modern scientific dimension, but the ultimate authority remains the committee of religious scholars. The forecast of a low sighting chance means that June 15 is unlikely to be the 1st of Muharram. June 17 is therefore the more probable date. Muslims should prepare accordingly. The new Islamic year 1448 AH is a time for introspection and renewal. It is an opportunity to assess one’s spiritual progress and set goals for the coming year. The month of Muharram is a reminder of the sacrifices made for justice and truth. It is a time to remember the lessons of Karbala. The SUPARCO forecast helps Muslims plan for these observances. The official announcement will be made shortly after sunset on June 15. Muslims are encouraged to look for the moon themselves, following the tradition of the Prophet. However, they should also rely on the official decision to maintain unity. The beginning of the Islamic new year is a joyous occasion, but also one of solemn reflection. The SUPARCO forecast provides clarity, but the final decision rests with the Ruet-e-Hilal Committee. The nation will await their announcement. The first of Muharram is expected to be June 17. This date is subject to confirmation by the committee. The Muslim ummah in Pakistan will follow the official decision. The SUPARCO forecast has been widely reported. The public is advised to ignore rumours and rely on official sources. The Central Ruet-e-Hilal Committee is the sole authority for moon sighting announcements. Their decision will be broadcast live on national television. Muslims are urged to pray for unity and peace during this sacred month. The new Islamic year is a time for fresh starts. It is an opportunity to leave behind past mistakes and strive for betterment. The SUPARCO forecast provides a scientific basis, but faith and tradition remain paramount. The committee will weigh both science and testimony. Their decision will be final. The people of Pakistan have always respected the committee’s announcements. This year will be no different. The month of Muharram holds deep significance for both Sunni and Shia Muslims. It is a time of mourning and remembrance. The SUPARCO forecast allows for planning of these observances. The official date will be announced soon. Muslims should prepare their hearts and minds for the new year. The month of Muharram is a time for fasting, prayer, and charity. It is a month of blessings and rewards. The SUPARCO forecast is a tool, not a replacement for traditional sighting. The committee will make the final call. The nation trusts their judgment. The beginning of 1448 AH is near. Muslims should reflect on the lessons of Hijra, the migration of the Prophet from Makkah to Madinah. That event marks the start of the Islamic calendar. The new year is a reminder of sacrifice and faith. The SUPARCO forecast helps us anticipate the date. The official announcement will be made on the evening of June 15. Muslims are encouraged to be patient and await the decision. The committee has never failed to fulfill its duty. They will meet on the 29th of Dhul Hijjah. The moon sighting will be discussed. The decision will be based on both testimony and science. The SUPARCO forecast is part of that process. The final outcome will be in the best interest of the ummah. The new Islamic year is a time for unity
