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Islamabad, June 2, 2025 — The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has released its seasonal outlook for the upcoming Monsoon Season (July–September), warning of above-normal rainfall in several regions, along with the heightened risk of flooding, extreme weather events, and glacial lake outbursts.
Forecast Highlights
According to PMD, the forecast is based on a comprehensive analysis of eight global seasonal prediction models. Key highlights include:
- Central and southern Pakistan, including Punjab and Kashmir, are expected to receive normal to slightly above-normal rainfall during the July–August–September (JAS) period.
- Northern regions such as Gilgit-Baltistan and northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) may experience normal to slightly below-normal rainfall.
- Above-normal temperatures are forecast nationwide, particularly in Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan, and northern KP.
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Weather Hazards Anticipated
The combination of increased rainfall and soaring temperatures may result in several hazards, including:
- Riverine floods due to intense precipitation in catchment zones.
- Urban and flash flooding in cities and hilly areas of Punjab, KP, Sindh, and AJK, especially early in the monsoon season.
- Dust storms, strong winds, and hailstorms due to rising temperature gradients.
- Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs) in Gilgit-Baltistan and upper KP, triggered by rapid snowmelt from abnormally high temperatures.
Potential Positive Impacts
On the brighter side, PMD notes that monsoon rainfall will help:
- Replenish national water reservoirs.
- Improve irrigation for agriculture.
- Boost hydropower generation capacity, aiding energy production during peak demand.
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Public Safety Advisory
The PMD urges the public to remain alert and take precautionary measures:
- Monitor official weather updates via the PMD website and mobile app.
- Avoid unnecessary travel during heavy rainfall warnings.
- Keep emergency kits ready with essential items.
- Report blocked drainage or flood-prone areas to local authorities.
- Stay away from electric poles, rivers, and canals during storms.
This seasonal outlook serves as a vital guide for both citizens and authorities to prepare for potential monsoon-related disruptions while maximizing the season’s benefits. stay tuned with Bloom Pakistan
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